2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,124 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,098/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$127
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$374/mo
Annual
$4,485/yr
Cap rate
12.70%
Cash-on-cash
22.88%
DSCR
2.02
1% rule
1.57%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#8 in MT, #1,736 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Choteau H S (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #151 of 339 in MT (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Choteau School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #82 of 293 statewide, top 33%, 200 students, 0% FRL); Choteau 7-8 (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #63 of 146 statewide, top 48%, 55 students, 0% FRL); Choteau High School (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #40 of 132 statewide, top 32%, 103 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Teton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Teton County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1PNXCYEDYAE9EH
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29