2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,313 sqft ·
Built 1938
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,912/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$402
Net cashflow
$854/mo
Annual
$10,249/yr
Cap rate
17.08%
Cash-on-cash
38.53%
DSCR
2.71
1% rule
2.01%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $854 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,912/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2465% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and peeling
Major: exterior paint
— Visible peeling and wear
Major: flooring
— Worn-out carpet
Major: interior walls/paint
— Painted walls with visible wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-1PT2J3AEBJV9BK
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29