3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,687/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$342
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$354
Net cashflow
$882/mo
Annual
$10,588/yr
Cap rate
22.53%
Cash-on-cash
58.00%
DSCR
3.58
1% rule
2.59%
Cash to close
$18,256
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $451 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $923 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Traut Core Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #26 of 966 statewide, top 4%, 502 students, 12% FRL); Kinard Core Knowledge Middle School (math 61% / reading 77%, grade A, #8 of 270 statewide, top 3%, 748 students, 7% FRL); Fort Collins High School (math 42% / reading 73%, grade C, #68 of 381 statewide, top 18%, 1,903 students, 32% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Poudre School District R-1 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-1.4% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 2.7% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($130k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: roof
— There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
Minor: exterior siding
— There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
Minor: interior walls/paint
— There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
Minor: flooring
— There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
Minor: HVAC/mechanicals
— There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1QZZY3CF6GGY0J
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29