2500 E Harmony Rd #358 · Fort Collins, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.6
$65,200
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a basketball court, community events, and a playground, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 138 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 2.7% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Traut Core Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #26 of 966 statewide, top 4%, 502 students, 12% FRL); Kinard Core Knowledge Middle School (math 61% / reading 77%, grade A, #8 of 270 statewide, top 3%, 748 students, 7% FRL); Fort Collins High School (math 42% / reading 73%, grade C, #68 of 381 statewide, top 18%, 1,903 students, 32% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 66% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Poudre School District R-1 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($130k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $451 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $923 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-1.4% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.00%
- DSCR
- 3.58
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,470
- List price
- $65,200
- Delta
- -18.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #269 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+1%) | 6mo | $82,000 | $67 | 93 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #439 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+3%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $84 | 92 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #166 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,186 (-2%) | 8mo | $48,000 | $40 | 89 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #293 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,241 (+2%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $60 | 88 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #484 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 17mo | $105,000 | $86 | 86 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #339 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $37 | 82 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #329 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 14mo | $105,000 | $81 | 77 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #105 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $56 | 77 |
| 2500 E Harmony Rd #84 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (-9%) | 5mo | $83,000 | $75 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.42% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.80×
- Total profit
- $51,122
- Equity at exit
- $14,446
- IRR
- 62.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.86×
- Total profit
- $125,319
- Equity at exit
- $14,094
Cash invested: $18,256 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.6 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $62,825 ($54/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 95 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +22.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 80528
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,687 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$342
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$82 /mo · $978/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $882
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $927 | -5% $905 | +0% $882 | +5% $860 | +10% $837 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $749 | -5% $816 | +0% $882 | +5% $949 | +10% $1,016 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $915 | -0.5pp $899 | base $882 | +0.5pp $865 | +1.0pp $848 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,300
- Closing costs
- $1,956
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2921 Timberwood Dr Fort Collins, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,920 | $1.72 | 0d | 3 | 0.61mi |
| 2002 Battlecreek Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $2,471 | $2.40 | 0d | 17 | 0.88mi |
| 5225 White Willow Dr Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1003 | $1,940 | $1.93 | 109d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5225 White Willow Dr Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $1,870 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4545 Wheaton Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 109d | 5 | 1.21mi |
| 4545 Wheaton Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,895 | $2.32 | 3d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 1314 Armsley Ct Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,400 | $1.92 | 119d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2212 Vermont Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,895 | $2.22 | 0d | 6 | 1.31mi |
| 4470 S Lemay Ave Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $2,071 | $2.38 | 0d | 16 | 1.35mi |
| 3707 Precision Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $2,276 | $2.36 | 0d | 18 | 1.37mi |
| 3465 Lochwood Dr Unit J39 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1057 | $1,795 | $1.70 | 109d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2918 S Timberline Rd Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $2,040 | $2.71 | 0d | 10 | 1.46mi |
| 3838 Steelhead St Unit H Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3500 Rolling Green Dr Unit D19 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,675 | $1.87 | 5d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Listing status: Active
- Financial info
- List price $64,700
Exterior
- Utilities
- Natural gas available
- Home design
- Spec new construction, Plan 91327
- Exterior features
- Located at 2500 E Harmony Rd #358, Fort Collins, CO 80528
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 bathrooms (full)
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heating
- Interior features
- Living area approximately 1,216
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $65,200 Active 138 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $65,200 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $65,200 Active 136 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $65,200 Active 135 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $65,200 Active 133 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $65,200 Active 132 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $65,200 Active 131 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $65,200 Active 130 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $65,200 Active 129 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $65,200 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $65,200 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $65,200 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $65,200 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $65,200 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $65,200 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $65,200 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $65,200 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $65,200 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $65,200 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $65,200 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $65,200 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $65,200 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $65,200 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $65,200 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $65,200 Active 105 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $65,200 Active 104 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $65,200 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $65,200 Active 102 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $65,200 Active 101 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $65,200 Active 100 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $65,200 Active 99 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $65,200 Active 98 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $65,200 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $65,200 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $65,200 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $65,200 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $65,200 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $65,200 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $65,200 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $65,200 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $65,200 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $65,200 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $65,200 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $65,200 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $65,200 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $65,200 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $65,200 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $65,200 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $65,200 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $65,200 Active 75 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,652
- − Property taxes
- −$978
- − Insurance
- −$326
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,620
- − Management
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$1,897
- Taxable income
- $10,154
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,437
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,151/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This home is in fair condition with some visible signs of wear and tear. It has a good roof and siding, but the interior walls, paint, flooring, and HVAC systems need some attention. Painting, replacing HVAC filters, and repairing any visible structural issues can improve its condition and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor roof — There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
- Minor exterior siding — There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
- Minor interior walls/paint — There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
- Minor flooring — There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
- Minor HVAC/mechanicals — There are some visible signs of wear and tear.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint the exterior and interior — Painting the exterior and interior can improve the home's curb appeal and overall condition. ↑
- Both replace HVAC filters — Replacing HVAC filters can improve air quality and energy efficiency, which can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both repair any visible structural issues — Repairing any visible structural issues can improve the home's overall condition and increase its value. ↑
- Both landscape the front yard — Landscape the front yard to improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Fort Collins
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Collins, CO
- County
- Larimer County · 415,361 people
- City population
- 202,303
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,960
- Household income
- $130,350
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.42%
- Current HPI
- 244.4061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.60%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…