3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
888 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,075/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$376
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$436
Net cashflow
$-74/mo
Annual
$-888/yr
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.24%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$71,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-888/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (5.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (18.6% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $207k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#37 in NY, #572 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, cost of living D.
South Colonie Central School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #215 of 590 in NY (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Colonie Central High School (math 96% / reading 72%, grade A, #404 of 1,100 statewide, top 37%, 1,538 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 19% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 60% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Colonie Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $255k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.8% in Colonie — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1R8APC8MK54T3Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29