2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
860 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 202 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,373/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$515
HOA
−$290
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$-193/mo
Annual
$-2,313/yr
Cap rate
9.41%
Cash-on-cash
11.13%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-193 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $56k (37.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $56k (37.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in LA, #261 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
12 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $90k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.6% in Metairie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1RCQ0F38HD18Q3
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29