3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,955 sqft ·
Built 1981
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,265/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$316
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$-104/mo
Annual
$-1,242/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.06%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-104 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#110 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Pierce County (rural): math 52% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #15 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $56k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1RXHRS6BEP3B16
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29