3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,240 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,286/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$464/mo
Annual
$5,567/yr
Cap rate
13.26%
Cash-on-cash
24.88%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
1.61%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#106 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Hale County (rural): math 6% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #109 of 129 in AL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Greensboro Elementary School (math 4% / reading 31%, grade F, #484 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 554 students, 78% FRL); Greensboro Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 257 statewide, top 90%, 232 students, 88% FRL); Hale County High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #220 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 379 students, 59% FRL).
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Hale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hale County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $80k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Severe wear and tear, likely unsafe and in need of replacement
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Worn and outdated, likely in need of replacement
Major: Roof
— Signs of wear and tear, possibly needing replacement
Major: Exterior painting
— Needs repainting to improve curb appeal
Major: Flooring
— Worn and in need of replacement
Major: Interior paint
— Worn and in need of repainting
CashFlowRE · CFR-1S910P17CHVN59
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29