3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,272 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,082/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$-163/mo
Annual
$-1,957/yr
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.51%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (18.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (30.2% below list).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#469 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Herman-Norcross School District (rural): math 50% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #150 of 467 in MN (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Herman Elementary (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #721 of 857 statewide, top 84%, 59 students, 58% FRL); Herman Secondary (math 70% / reading 50%, grade C+, #46 of 471 statewide, top 11%, 43 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 31% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 60% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Herman-Norcross School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grant County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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