3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,347 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,264/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$342/mo
Annual
$4,102/yr
Cap rate
10.61%
Cash-on-cash
15.42%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $159 of equity ($657 loan paydown + $-498 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#767 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Littlefield ISD (town): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #527 of 826 in TX (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Littlefield J H (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 275 students, 74% FRL); Littlefield H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 364 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.
Lamb County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— Worn wooden cabinets need updating.
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— Standard fixtures could be replaced with more modern ones.
Minor: landscaping
— Overgrown areas need trimming and some plants could be added for better curb appeal.
Minor: fence
— No visible damage, but could be painted or repaired for a more polished look.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29