2610 County Road 131 · Amherst, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your boots and settle into COUNTRY LIVING at this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranchette, sitting on approximately 1.8 acres west of Littlefield where you will enjoy beautiful views right off your front porch! This bunkhouse-style home also offers a kitchen/dining combo, spacious living area and laundry room with a cellar. This property is fenced and setup for livestock or horse enthusiasts with a barn and round pen already in place. Plenty of open space for gardening, animals or simply enjoying the peaceful rural setting. Perfect setup if you are looking for a weekend place to getaway, home to use during hunting season, investment property or a small horse property. Home has a newly installed h
Key facts
- Barn
- Spacious living area
- Laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Horses allowed with barn, hay storage, pasture and round pen; Other equipment: contact listing agent
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; One carport space
- Security: 24-hour security; Closed-circuit cameras
- Utilities: Private well water; Water connected; Cesspool sewer; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Fixer condition
- Construction: Brick construction; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built on a 1.8-acre lot
- Exterior features: Covered front and side porches; Full fenced yard with barbed wire; Barn(s) and outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer/Dryer listed among appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#767 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Littlefield ISD (town): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #527 of 826 in TX (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Littlefield J H (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 275 students, 74% FRL); Littlefield H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 364 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $159 of equity ($657 loan paydown + $-498 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Lamb County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.42%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $16,698
- Equity at exit
- $25,123
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $52,563
- Equity at exit
- $28,298
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79339
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,264 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $407 | -5% $375 | +0% $342 | +5% $309 | +10% $276 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $242 | -5% $292 | +0% $342 | +5% $392 | +10% $442 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $390 | -0.5pp $366 | base $342 | +0.5pp $317 | +1.0pp $292 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,165
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,213
- − Management
- −$1,213
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,754
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$661
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,441/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 3-bedroom ranchette is in good condition with a good roof and stable structure. It has potential for increased value through cosmetic updates to the kitchen, bathroom, and exterior, as well as landscaping improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — Worn wooden cabinets need updating.
- Minor bathroom fixtures — Standard fixtures could be replaced with more modern ones.
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown areas need trimming and some plants could be added for better curb appeal.
- Minor fence — No visible damage, but could be painted or repaired for a more polished look.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Update bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathroom and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Trim landscaping — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Paint fence — Enhances the overall appearance and can increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · Worn wooden cabinets need updating. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Standard fixtures could be replaced with more modern ones. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown areas need trimming and some plants could be added for better curb appeal. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| fence · No visible damage, but could be painted or repaired for a more polished look. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Update bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathroom and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Trim landscaping — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Paint fence — Enhances the overall appearance and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Littlefield ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827750
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,900
- Composite
- 29.51/100
- National rank
- #6503
- State rank
- #527 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amherst
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #767
- US rank
- #14007
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,707
Population outlook (Lamb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,357 people
- By 2030
- 11,878 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 10,950 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 9,929 · -19.6%
- By 2075
- 7,355 · -40.5%
- By 2100
- 4,603 · -62.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 41% Two or more races 17% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 35%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamb
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.6% · R 81.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.4pp · 2024: -64.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.3 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+48.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.52%
- Current HPI
- 140.3662
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $95,000 LARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…