2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$853/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$89/mo
Annual
$1,069/yr
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.09%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($853 rent vs $75k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,026 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Mercer County School District 404 (town): math 14% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #439 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: New Boston Elem School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,477 of 2,056 statewide, top 74%, 175 students, 0% FRL); Mercer County Jr High School (math 17% / reading 29%, grade F, #377 of 665 statewide, top 58%, 299 students, 0% FRL); Mercer County High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 404 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mercer County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
11 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask is 16% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $65k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1WGMX8BVG88DR3
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29