4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,421 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,634/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$846
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$763
Net cashflow
$-204/mo
Annual
$-2,449/yr
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.06%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-204 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $389k (8.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $363k (14.5% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $363k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in IL, #393 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Maine Township Hsd 207 (suburban): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #143 of 620 in IL (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Melzer School (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 397 students, 0% FRL); Gemini Middle School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #256 of 665 statewide, top 41%, 1,075 students, 0% FRL); Maine East High School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #213 of 693 statewide, top 31%, 1,808 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 17 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $272k; list at $425k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($111k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1XFSEAA5BYBN0Z
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29