11446 Ellsworth St

Allenport, PA 17066

$65,000B

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 565 sqft · Built 1930 · SingleFamily · Pending · 10 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $804/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$341
• Tax + insurance: −$73
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$169
• Net cashflow: $221/mo
• Annual: $2,657/yr
• Cap rate: 10.38%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.60%
• DSCR: 1.65
• 1% rule: 1.24%
• Cash to close: $18,200

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($804 rent vs $65k).
• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,628 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Mount Union Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #462 of 539 in PA (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Shirley Twp El Sch (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,125 of 1,518 statewide, top 75%, 265 students, 100% FRL); Mount Union Area Jhs (math 10% / reading 33%, grade F, #429 of 512 statewide, top 84%, 261 students, 100% FRL); Mount Union Area Shs (math 37%, 354 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 56% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $35k; list at $65k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.