11446 Ellsworth St · Allenport, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This versatile 1–2 BR layout features an open living/kitchen area, a spacious walk-in closet, and a functional mudroom/office. Note: The flexible second bedroom functions as a walk-through room, making it an ideal den or dressing area! Enjoy the covered front porch, rear deck, off-street parking, and a handy storage shed. Newer roof!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Rear deck
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking; Gravel driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Shake siding; Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Shed(s); Rolling slope lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating; Heat pump; Ceiling fan(s); Cooling via heat pump
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Eat-in kitchen; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($804 rent vs $65k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,628 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Mount Union Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #462 of 539 in PA (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $65k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.60%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $49,494
- Equity at exit
- $58,557
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.40×
- Total profit
- $134,642
- Equity at exit
- $126,281
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17066
- Home prices YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $804 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $550/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$169
- Net cashflow
- $221
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $258 | -5% $240 | +0% $221 | +5% $203 | +10% $185 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $158 | -5% $190 | +0% $221 | +5% $253 | +10% $285 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $254 | -0.5pp $238 | base $221 | +0.5pp $205 | +1.0pp $187 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-13status $65,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 335-char remark
-
2026-06-02$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $550 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $789 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$238/yr (+$20/mo · 43.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$550
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$772
- − Management
- −$772
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,698
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$408
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Union Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,561
- Composite
- 22.56/100
- National rank
- #8080
- State rank
- #462 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allenport
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1628
- US rank
- #22331
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allenport, PA
- City population
- 179
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,131
Population outlook (Huntingdon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,212 people
- By 2030
- 43,057 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 40,537 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 37,844 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 31,411 · -29.0%
- By 2100
- 23,907 · -45.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 5% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Huntingdon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+37.4 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.34%
- Current HPI
- 173.1528
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+85.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $65,000 HCBR
- 2010-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $550 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…