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11446 Ellsworth St
B Composite 73.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$65,000

11446 Ellsworth St · Allenport, PA 17066
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 565 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1930 7,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This versatile 1–2 BR layout features an open living/kitchen area, a spacious walk-in closet, and a functional mudroom/office. Note: The flexible second bedroom functions as a walk-through room, making it an ideal den or dressing area! Enjoy the covered front porch, rear deck, off-street parking, and a handy storage shed. Newer roof!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Rear deck
  • Off-street parking

Tags

OPEN LIVING KITCHEN AREASPACIOUS WALK-IN CLOSETFUNCTIONAL MUDROOM OFFICECOVERED FRONT PORCHREAR DECKOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking; Gravel driveway; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Shake siding; Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Shed(s); Rolling slope lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating; Heat pump; Ceiling fan(s); Cooling via heat pump
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Eat-in kitchen; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($804 rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,628 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Mount Union Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #462 of 539 in PA (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $65k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.38%
Cash-on-cash
14.60%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$49,494
Equity at exit
$58,557
10-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
8.40×
Total profit
$134,642
Equity at exit
$126,281

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17066

Home prices YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$804 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $550/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$169
Net cashflow
$221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $258 -5% $240 +0% $221 +5% $203 +10% $185
Rent -10% $158 -5% $190 +0% $221 +5% $253 +10% $285
Rate -1.0pp $254 -0.5pp $238 base $221 +0.5pp $205 +1.0pp $187

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $65,000 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    remarks 335-char remark
  8. 2026-06-02
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$550 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$789 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$238/yr (+$20/mo · 43.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,649
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$550
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$772
− Management
−$772
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,698
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$408
After-tax cash flow
$2,250/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Union Area SD
NCES district ID
4216020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$38,561
Composite
22.56/100
National rank
#8080
State rank
#462 of 539 in PA

Livability — Allenport

Score
57/100
State rank
#1628
US rank
#22331

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Allenport, PA
City population
179
Population (ZIP)
5,131

Population outlook (Huntingdon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,212 people
By 2030
43,057 · -2.6%
By 2040
40,537 · -8.3%
By 2050
37,844 · -14.4%
By 2075
31,411 · -29.0%
By 2100
23,907 · -45.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Black 5% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Huntingdon

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+37.4 2008: R+27.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.34%
Current HPI
173.1528
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $65,000 HCBR
  • 2010-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $550 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…