3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
3,450 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$829
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$472
Net cashflow
$685/mo
Annual
$8,223/yr
Cap rate
11.50%
Cash-on-cash
18.59%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$44,240
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $158k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $685 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#70 in MA, #3,820 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, schools D.
Pittsfield (urban): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #272 of 302 in MA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 275 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $56k; list at $158k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.6% in Pittsfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Significant damage and wear
Major: Foundation
— Uneven and possibly damaged
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No photos, but likely outdated and in need of repair
Major: Windows
— Old and possibly not functioning
Major: Kitchen and bathrooms
— No photos, but likely in need of significant updates
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29