3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,462 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,586/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,625
Tax + insurance
−$428
HOA
−$32
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$543
Net cashflow
$-42/mo
Annual
$-504/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.58%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$86,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-504/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (2.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $259k (16.5% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $259k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#155 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Forsyth County (suburban): math 62% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #5 of 174 in GA (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Silver City Elementary School (math 66% / reading 56%, grade B, #118 of 1,228 statewide, top 10%, 1,128 students, 16% FRL); North Forsyth Middle School (math 47% / reading 49%, grade C-, #80 of 470 statewide, top 17%, 1,191 students, 20% FRL); North Forsyth High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 2,065 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 17% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Forsyth County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 544 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,525 units permitted in Forsyth County in 2024 (810 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forsyth County population projected at +71% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $173k; list at $310k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.0% in Dawsonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1YHENV0PZBNN57
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29