3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,948/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$254
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$409
Net cashflow
$1,203/mo
Annual
$14,442/yr
Cap rate
36.07%
Cash-on-cash
106.34%
DSCR
5.73
1% rule
4.02%
Cash to close
$13,580
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $48k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $335 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Chaffee Trail Elementary (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 765 students, 52% FRL); Charger Academy (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 961 students, 71% FRL); Edward H. White High School (math 31% / reading 25%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,538 students, 64% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 219 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 36.1% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen organization
— Cluttered and disorganized, needs decluttering and reorganization.
Major: Bathroom updates
— No visible condition details, likely outdated and in need of updates.
Major: Flooring replacement
— Worn and dirty carpet, needs replacement.
Major: Painting
— Paint appears chipped and dirty, needs repainting.
Major: Kitchen appliances
— No visible appliances, likely outdated and in need of replacement.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— No visible fixtures, likely outdated and in need of replacement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2070TV4Z74NZ57
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29