2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 152 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$831/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$175
Net cashflow
$-138/mo
Annual
$-1,658/yr
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.15%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (17.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (27.7% below list).
It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $83k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#639 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Stonewall (rural): math 20% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #155 of 270 in OK (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Stonewall Es (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #168 of 845 statewide, top 24%, 198 students, 0% FRL); Mclish Ms (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #234 of 345 statewide, top 72%, 131 students, 0% FRL); Stonewall Hs (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 123 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 69% district-wide (69 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pontotoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pontotoc County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $11k; list at $115k implies a 945% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-20G36299W4DQS8
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29