213 E 5th · Stonewall, OK
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Super cute Updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located on a large corner lot in the heart of Stonewall. This well-maintained property offers comfortable living with a fenced backyard and a storage building for added convenience. Convenient in-town location close to local amenities.
Key facts
- Storage building
- In-town location
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks
Exterior
- Security: No safety shelter; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Metal roof; Aluminum siding; Wood frame construction; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Porch; Shed(s) and storage; Chain link fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven/Range/Stove; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Radiant heating; Two cooling units
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Wood counters; Gas oven connection; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (17.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (27.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $83k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#639 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Stonewall (rural): math 20% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #155 of 270 in OK (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Stonewall Es (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #168 of 845 statewide, top 24%, 198 students, 0% FRL); Mclish Ms (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #234 of 345 statewide, top 72%, 131 students, 0% FRL); Stonewall Hs (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 123 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 69% district-wide (69 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pontotoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
- Pontotoc County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $115k implies a 945% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.15%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $49,268
- Equity at exit
- $98,730
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.69×
- Total profit
- $150,958
- Equity at exit
- $207,936
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74871
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $831 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$175
- Net cashflow
- $-138
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-59 | -5% $-98 | +0% $-138 | +5% $-178 | +10% $-218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-204 | -5% $-171 | +0% $-138 | +5% $-105 | +10% $-72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-80 | -0.5pp $-109 | base $-138 | +0.5pp $-168 | +1.0pp $-198 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-02-26price $120,000
-
2026-01-19$125,000 Active
-
2001-03-23soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$798
- − Management
- −$798
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$3,709
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$890
- After-tax cash flow
- $-767/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stonewall
- NCES district ID
- 4028800
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,982
- Composite
- 18.58/100
- National rank
- #8908
- State rank
- #155 of 270 in OK
Livability — Stonewall
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #639
- US rank
- #24889
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stonewall, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,174
Population outlook (Pontotoc County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,521 people
- By 2030
- 40,140 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 41,242 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 42,293 · +7.0%
- By 2075
- 44,678 · +13.0%
- By 2100
- 46,015 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Native American 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- European 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Pontotoc
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.7% · R 72.3% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+43.7 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.42%
- Current HPI
- 319.5458
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+990.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-19 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2001-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $197 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…