33629 Fox Hills Dr

Stover, MO 65078

$17,500C-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 410 sqft · Built 1969 · Manufactured · Pending · 23 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $876/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$92
• Tax + insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$184
• Net cashflow: $578/mo
• Annual: $6,935/yr
• Cap rate: 45.92%
• Cash-on-cash: 141.52%
• DSCR: 7.30
• 1% rule: 5.01%
• Cash to close: $4,900

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $18k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $578 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($876 rent vs $18k).
• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $17k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($121 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#473 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Morgan County R-I (rural): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #173 of 324 in MO (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Morgan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.