3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 115 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,168/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$833
Tax + insurance
−$122
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$245
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-393/yr
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.88%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$44,492
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-393/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (3.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (26.5% below list).
It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $806 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#205 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Mcloud (rural): math 13% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #201 of 270 in OK (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Mcloud Es (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 214 students, 0% FRL); Mcloud Hs (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #296 of 447 statewide, top 67%, 509 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $59k; list at $159k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.5% in McLoud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-20M9NN68ZER4FK
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29