3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$976/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$205
Net cashflow
$12/mo
Annual
$140/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.45%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($140/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (11.2% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mcgregor Public School District (rural): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #243 of 301 in MN (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Aitkin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Aitkin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— outdated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— outdated and in poor condition
Major: flooring
— dated and in poor condition
Major: interior paint
— paint appears worn and outdated
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29