3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Other
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,397/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$503
Net cashflow
$318/mo
Annual
$3,816/yr
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.05%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (11.2% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-249 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#342 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
Larue County (rural): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #82 of 165 in KY (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Larue County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Larue County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $270k implies a 184% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-217BJT4V6SMXPK
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29