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464 Cruse Rd
C- Composite 53.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$269,999

464 Cruse Rd · Sonora, KY 42776
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Other · 38 Days on market
Built 2026 2.66 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

24-hour First Right of Refusal; Active Under Contract as of 05/09/2026. There's a stillness here you can feel the moment you arrive, where open sky stretches uninterrupted and the water rests quietly beyond the home, reflecting the rhythm of a slower, more intentional pace. Set on multiple acres in Sonora, this thoughtfully reimagined residence has been meticulously refined over time, blending comfort with enduring quality. Nearly every element has been elevated: a new metal roof crowns the home, while updated mechanicals, including HVAC, furnace, and water heater, offer peace of mind beneath the surface. The exterior has been fully transformed with premium siding, added insulation, and a full wrap, complemented by a suite of Pella windows that draw natural light deep into the living spaces. Inside, the kitchen stands as the heart of the home, crafted with all-wood Haas cabinetry, designed for both everyday living and effortless hosting. Updated flooring and custom vanities continue the sense of cohesion and care throughout. Outdoors, the property unfolds as both a private retreat and a place to gather. A covered patio extends the living space into the landscape, while the expanded drive welcomes guests with ease. Beyond, the pond, stocked with bass, offers a quiet escape, equally suited for reflection or recreation. MLS - 166 Converted to Real Estate.

Key facts

  • 2.66 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 2026

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $240k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#342 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Larue County (rural): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #82 of 165 in KY (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Larue County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-249 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Larue County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $270k implies a 184% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $239,735 (11.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.05%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$11,042
Equity at exit
$77,154
10-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$69,222
Equity at exit
$91,755

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42776

Home prices YoY
-0.0%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,397 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $570/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$503
Net cashflow
$318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,995
Max offer price $269,999
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $471 -5% $394 +0% $318 +5% $242 +10% $-159
Rent -10% $129 -5% $223 +0% $318 +5% $413 +10% $507
Rate -1.0pp $454 -0.5pp $387 base $318 +0.5pp $248 +1.0pp $177

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $269,999 Pending 38 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,999 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $269,999 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-04-30
    status Active 1374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1364 chars)

    24-hour First Right of Refusal; Active Under Contract as of 05/09/2026. 24 hour notice to show. There's a stillness here you can feel the moment you arrive, where open sky stretches uninterrupted and the water rests quietly beyond the home, reflecting the rhythm of a slower, more intentional pace. Set on multiple acres in Sonora, this thoughtfully reimagined residence has been meticulously refined over time, blending comfort with enduring quality. Nearly every element has been elevated: a new metal roof crowns the home, while updated mechanicals, including HVAC, furnace, and water heater, offer peace of mind beneath the surface. The exterior has been fully transformed with premium siding, added insulation, and a full wrap, complemented by a suite of Pella windows that draw natural light deep into the living spaces. Inside, the kitchen stands as the heart of the home, crafted with all-wood Haas cabinetry, designed for both everyday living and effortless hosting. Updated flooring and custom vanities continue the sense of cohesion and care throughout. Outdoors, the property unfolds as both a private retreat and a place to gather. A covered patio extends the living space into the landscape, while the expanded drive welcomes guests with ease. Beyond, the pond, stocked with bass, offers a quiet escape, equally suited for reflection or recreation.

  5. 2026-04-30
    status Active 1364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1364 chars)

    24-hour First Right of Refusal; Active Under Contract as of 05/09/2026. 24 hour notice to show. There's a stillness here you can feel the moment you arrive, where open sky stretches uninterrupted and the water rests quietly beyond the home, reflecting the rhythm of a slower, more intentional pace. Set on multiple acres in Sonora, this thoughtfully reimagined residence has been meticulously refined over time, blending comfort with enduring quality. Nearly every element has been elevated: a new metal roof crowns the home, while updated mechanicals, including HVAC, furnace, and water heater, offer peace of mind beneath the surface. The exterior has been fully transformed with premium siding, added insulation, and a full wrap, complemented by a suite of Pella windows that draw natural light deep into the living spaces. Inside, the kitchen stands as the heart of the home, crafted with all-wood Haas cabinetry, designed for both everyday living and effortless hosting. Updated flooring and custom vanities continue the sense of cohesion and care throughout. Outdoors, the property unfolds as both a private retreat and a place to gather. A covered patio extends the living space into the landscape, while the expanded drive welcomes guests with ease. Beyond, the pond, stocked with bass, offers a quiet escape, equally suited for reflection or recreation.

  6. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 1374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1364 chars)

    24-hour First Right of Refusal; Active Under Contract as of 05/09/2026. 24 hour notice to show. There's a stillness here you can feel the moment you arrive, where open sky stretches uninterrupted and the water rests quietly beyond the home, reflecting the rhythm of a slower, more intentional pace. Set on multiple acres in Sonora, this thoughtfully reimagined residence has been meticulously refined over time, blending comfort with enduring quality. Nearly every element has been elevated: a new metal roof crowns the home, while updated mechanicals, including HVAC, furnace, and water heater, offer peace of mind beneath the surface. The exterior has been fully transformed with premium siding, added insulation, and a full wrap, complemented by a suite of Pella windows that draw natural light deep into the living spaces. Inside, the kitchen stands as the heart of the home, crafted with all-wood Haas cabinetry, designed for both everyday living and effortless hosting. Updated flooring and custom vanities continue the sense of cohesion and care throughout. Outdoors, the property unfolds as both a private retreat and a place to gather. A covered patio extends the living space into the landscape, while the expanded drive welcomes guests with ease. Beyond, the pond, stocked with bass, offers a quiet escape, equally suited for reflection or recreation.

  7. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 1364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1364 chars)

    24-hour First Right of Refusal; Active Under Contract as of 05/09/2026. 24 hour notice to show. There's a stillness here you can feel the moment you arrive, where open sky stretches uninterrupted and the water rests quietly beyond the home, reflecting the rhythm of a slower, more intentional pace. Set on multiple acres in Sonora, this thoughtfully reimagined residence has been meticulously refined over time, blending comfort with enduring quality. Nearly every element has been elevated: a new metal roof crowns the home, while updated mechanicals, including HVAC, furnace, and water heater, offer peace of mind beneath the surface. The exterior has been fully transformed with premium siding, added insulation, and a full wrap, complemented by a suite of Pella windows that draw natural light deep into the living spaces. Inside, the kitchen stands as the heart of the home, crafted with all-wood Haas cabinetry, designed for both everyday living and effortless hosting. Updated flooring and custom vanities continue the sense of cohesion and care throughout. Outdoors, the property unfolds as both a private retreat and a place to gather. A covered patio extends the living space into the landscape, while the expanded drive welcomes guests with ease. Beyond, the pond, stocked with bass, offers a quiet escape, equally suited for reflection or recreation.

  8. 2026-04-23
    listed $269,999 Active 1364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    24-hour First Right of Refusal; Active Under Contract as of 05/09/2026. There's a stillness here you can feel the moment you arrive, where open sky stretches uninterrupted and the water rests quietly beyond the home, reflecting the rhythm of a slower, more intentional pace. Set on multiple acres in Sonora, this thoughtfully reimagined residence has been meticulously refined over time, blending comfort with enduring quality. Nearly every element has been elevated: a new metal roof crowns the home, while updated mechanicals, including HVAC, furnace, and water heater, offer peace of mind beneath the surface. The exterior has been fully transformed with premium siding, added insulation, and a full wrap, complemented by a suite of Pella windows that draw natural light deep into the living spaces. Inside, the kitchen stands as the heart of the home, crafted with all-wood Haas cabinetry, designed for both everyday living and effortless hosting. Updated flooring and custom vanities continue the sense of cohesion and care throughout. Outdoors, the property unfolds as both a private retreat and a place to gather. A covered patio extends the living space into the landscape, while the expanded drive welcomes guests with ease. Beyond, the pond, stocked with bass, offers a quiet escape, equally suited for reflection or recreation. MLS - 166 Converted to Real Estate.

  9. 2026-04-23
    listed $269,900 Active 1374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    24-hour First Right of Refusal; Active Under Contract as of 05/09/2026. There's a stillness here you can feel the moment you arrive, where open sky stretches uninterrupted and the water rests quietly beyond the home, reflecting the rhythm of a slower, more intentional pace. Set on multiple acres in Sonora, this thoughtfully reimagined residence has been meticulously refined over time, blending comfort with enduring quality. Nearly every element has been elevated: a new metal roof crowns the home, while updated mechanicals, including HVAC, furnace, and water heater, offer peace of mind beneath the surface. The exterior has been fully transformed with premium siding, added insulation, and a full wrap, complemented by a suite of Pella windows that draw natural light deep into the living spaces. Inside, the kitchen stands as the heart of the home, crafted with all-wood Haas cabinetry, designed for both everyday living and effortless hosting. Updated flooring and custom vanities continue the sense of cohesion and care throughout. Outdoors, the property unfolds as both a private retreat and a place to gather. A covered patio extends the living space into the landscape, while the expanded drive welcomes guests with ease. Beyond, the pond, stocked with bass, offers a quiet escape, equally suited for reflection or recreation. MLS - 166 Converted to Real Estate.

  10. 2020-01-17
    soldstatus $95,000
  11. 2008-05-16
    soldstatus $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$570 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,322 · $193/mo
Expected delta
+$1,752/yr (+$146/mo · 307.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,768
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$570
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,301
− Management
−$2,301
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$734
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$176
After-tax cash flow
$3,992/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Larue County
NCES district ID
2103180
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$39,784
Composite
27.66/100
National rank
#6918
State rank
#82 of 165 in KY

Livability — Sonora

Score
62/100
State rank
#342
US rank
#16237

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,071

Population outlook (Larue County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,441 people
By 2030
14,453 · +0.1%
By 2040
14,258 · -1.3%
By 2050
13,687 · -5.2%
By 2075
12,271 · -15.0%
By 2100
10,639 · -26.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Larue

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.1% · R 79.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.3pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+55.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+36.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.09%
Current HPI
334.9918
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3275.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted HKARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending HKARMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $269,999 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $269,900 HKARMLS
  • 2020-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2008-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…