4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,144 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,157/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$622
HOA
−$17
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$453
Net cashflow
$-141/mo
Annual
$-1,696/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.40%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (10.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (6.2% below list).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $205k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#274 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Woodridge Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,092 of 1,228 statewide, top 91%, 475 students, 97% FRL); Miller Grove Middle School (math 8% / reading 18%, grade F, #410 of 470 statewide, top 87%, 722 students, 100% FRL); Miller Grove High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 1,188 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 9% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dekalb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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