5 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,164 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$930
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$672
Net cashflow
$-503/mo
Annual
$-6,034/yr
Cap rate
4.78%
Cash-on-cash
-5.40%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-503 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (22.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (19.8% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $310k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#508 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
United Twp Hsd 30 (suburban): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #536 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 116 units permitted in Rock Island County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rock Island County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
16 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $310k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-21Q8H67CPJMTJ7
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29