2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
792 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 131 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$840/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$-28/mo
Annual
$-331/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.08%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-331/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $105k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (23.6% below list).
It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#40 in KS, #3,169 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
North Ottawa County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #62 of 169 in KS (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Minneapolis Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #358 of 684 statewide, top 56%, 327 students, 51% FRL); Minneapolis Jr-Sr High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #60 of 327 statewide, top 24%, 302 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $31k; list at $110k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-21T0YZ6GYEQ65P
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29