222 Mackenzie Ave · Minneapolis, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Brand-new flooring
- Remodeled bathroom
- New gutters
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family onsite built; One level; Full foundation (no egress window)
- Construction: Composition roof; Full foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-331/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $105k (4.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (23.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $84k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#40 in KS, #3,169 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- North Ottawa County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #62 of 169 in KS (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Minneapolis Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #358 of 684 statewide, top 56%, 327 students, 51% FRL); Minneapolis Jr-Sr High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #60 of 327 statewide, top 24%, 302 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Ottawa County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $110k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.08%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $10,289
- Equity at exit
- $48,212
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $40,540
- Equity at exit
- $73,344
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67467
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $840 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $823/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $-28
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $35 | -5% $4 | +0% $-28 | +5% $-59 | +10% $-90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-94 | -5% $-61 | +0% $-28 | +5% $6 | +10% $39 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $28 | -0.5pp $0 | base $-28 | +0.5pp $-56 | +1.0pp $-85 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-03-06price $112,000
-
2026-02-11$115,000 Active
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-11-16price $116,000
-
2025-09-25status Active
-
2025-08-21status Pending
-
2025-07-23$119,000 Active
-
2009-08-10soldstatus
-
2002-11-01soldstatus $30,750
-
1991-10-01soldstatus $10,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $823 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,551 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$728/yr (+$61/mo · 88.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,081
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$823
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$806
- − Management
- −$806
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$2,267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$544
- After-tax cash flow
- $213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Ottawa County
- NCES district ID
- 2009570
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,499
- Composite
- 29.58/100
- National rank
- #6483
- State rank
- #62 of 169 in KS
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #3169
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,701
Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,796 people
- By 2030
- 5,660 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 5,366 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 5,017 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 4,494 · -22.5%
- By 2100
- 3,766 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.6) · D 15.8% · R 82.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -52.5pp · 2024: -66.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.6 2020: R+65.8 2016: R+64.1 2012: R+59.3 2008: R+52.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.80%
- Current HPI
- 200.3448
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+966.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $112,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Listed $115,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-16 Price Changed $116,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-25 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-21 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-23 Listed $119,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,750 Public Records
- 1991-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $823 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…