6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,444 sqft ·
Built 1938
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,329/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,409
Tax + insurance
−$903
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,539
Net cashflow
$1,478/mo
Annual
$17,740/yr
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.75%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$182,000
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1ba + 2×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $650k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $370/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $650k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($630k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $630k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
12 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $371k; list at $650k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,329/mo this rent would consume 163% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 5148% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-22MYEP852Z3756
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29