2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
906 sqft ·
Built 1886
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,557/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$776
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$229/mo
Annual
$2,752/yr
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.64%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$41,412
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#75 in MN, #1,802 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
Eastern Carver County Public School (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #41 of 301 in MN (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Clover Ridge Elementary (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #261 of 857 statewide, top 31%, 657 students, 27% FRL); Chaska Middle School West (math 41% / reading 59%, grade C, #77 of 258 statewide, top 31%, 599 students, 20% FRL); Chaska High School (math 52% / reading 59%, grade C, #80 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 1,584 students, 26% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 298 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 682 units permitted in Carver County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carver County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $117k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.5% in Chaska — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-22RH3J5S8896GB
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29