1 bd · None ba ·
400 sqft ·
Built 2011
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$799/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$168
Net cashflow
$79/mo
Annual
$952/yr
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.26%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($952/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($799 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#47 in AK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Alaska Gateway School District (rural): math 10% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #43 of 53 in AK (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP.
Southeast Fairbanks County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Unfinished bathroom
— Ready for finishing touches
Minor: Landscaping
— Natural surroundings
CashFlowRE · CFR-23EVTD88PPSE1F
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29