94 Gary Pl

New York, NY 10314

$925,000D-

6 bd · 7.0 ba · 2,192 sqft · Built 1975 · MultiFamily · Pending · 223 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $7,237/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,851
• Tax + insurance: −$983
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,520
• Net cashflow: $-117/mo
• Annual: $-1,404/yr
• Cap rate: 6.14%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.54%
• DSCR: 0.98
• 1% rule: 0.78%
• Cash to close: $259,000

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.5-bath units multifamily listed at $925k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-58/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $904k (2.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $724k (21.8% below list).
• It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($814k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $724k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $485k; list at $925k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $7,237/mo this rent would consume 83% of the median local household income ($105k/yr) (locally 2168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?