Duplex
94 Gary Pl · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 51.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$925,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Very Lovely,Large 3 Bedroom 2 Family Semi with Studio Rental. Hardwood Floors throughout, New bathroom in MBR. Den,Basement, Garage, Great Yard and much more. Beautiful Home. Studio Rental with New Kitchen & Bath, Dishwasher & Microwave. Must See. Level 1: LARGE DEN WITH SLIDERS TO YARD, 1/2 BATH, LARGE 2 ROOM STUDIO APT. Level 2: LR/DR COMBO, EIK, MBR W/ 3/4 BATH, BR, BR, MAIN BATH Basement: FULL UNFINISHED, WASHER/DRYER
Key facts
- Newer kitchen
- Near shopping
- 2 driveways
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space); Off-street parking
- Utilities: 220 volt electric
- Home design: Multi-family property with 2 total units; 2-story building; Zoned R3-1
- Construction: Stone and vinyl siding exterior; Approximately built (year not specified); Property in excellent condition
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 29 x 100; 0.07 acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms (level 1); Unit 2: bedrooms not specified
- Bathrooms: Total of 4 bathrooms: 1 full, 2 three-quarter, 1 half; Unit 1: 2 baths; Unit 2: bath count not specified
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air heating; Has heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.5-bath units multifamily listed at $925k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-58/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $904k (2.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $724k (21.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $724k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,237/mo this rent would consume 83% of the median local household income ($105k/yr) (locally 2168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($814k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $485k; list at $925k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.54%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $885,568
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Bleeker Pl | 0.14mi | 5/5.5 (-1) | 2,259 (+3%) | 2mo | $965,000 | $427 | 76 |
| 47 Grissom Ave | 0.44mi | 5/4.5 (-1) | 2,322 (+6%) | 2mo | $918,000 | $395 | 53 |
| 57 Sleepy Hollow Rd | 0.30mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,375 (+8%) | 5mo | $990,000 | $417 | 48 |
| 16 Knapp St | 0.32mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,352 (+7%) | 7mo | $950,000 | $404 | 48 |
| 72 Carpenter Ave | 0.50mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,516 (+15%) | 12mo | $815,000 | $324 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-150,739
- Equity at exit
- $137,921
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-113,223
- Equity at exit
- $79,977
Cash invested: $259,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10314
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 487
- Price-to-rent
- 21.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,237 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,851
- Tax from tax record
- −$598 /mo · $7,176/yr
- Insurance
- −$385
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,520
- Net cashflow
- $-117
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 3.5 | $7,236 |
| #1 | 3 | 3.5 | $3,618 |
| #2 | 3 | 3.5 | $3,618 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,237 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $231,250
- Closing costs
- $27,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-01-10price $925,000
-
2025-10-02$950,000 Active
-
2008-06-17soldstatus $485,000
-
2008-06-06soldstatus $485,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Very Lovely,Large 3 Bedroom 2 Family Semi with Studio Rental. Hardwood Floors throughout, New bathroom in MBR. Den,Basement, Garage, Great Yard and much more. Beautiful Home. Studio Rental with New Kitchen & Bath, Dishwasher & Microwave. Must See. Level 1: LARGE DEN WITH SLIDERS TO YARD, 1/2 BATH, LARGE 2 ROOM STUDIO APT. Level 2: LR/DR COMBO, EIK, MBR W/ 3/4 BATH, BR, BR, MAIN BATH Basement: FULL UNFINISHED, WASHER/DRYER
-
2008-01-07$499,900 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Very Lovely,Large 3 Bedroom 2 Family Semi with Studio Rental. Hardwood Floors throughout, New bathroom in MBR. Den,Basement, Garage, Great Yard and much more. Beautiful Home. Studio Rental with New Kitchen & Bath, Dishwasher & Microwave. Must See. Level 1: LARGE DEN WITH SLIDERS TO YARD, 1/2 BATH, LARGE 2 ROOM STUDIO APT. Level 2: LR/DR COMBO, EIK, MBR W/ 3/4 BATH, BR, BR, MAIN BATH Basement: FULL UNFINISHED, WASHER/DRYER
-
2005-01-25soldstatus $450,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,176 · $598/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,404 · $950/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,228/yr (+$352/mo · 58.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 51% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $86,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$51,814
- − Property taxes
- −$7,176
- − Insurance
- −$4,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,948
- − Management
- −$6,948
- − Depreciation
- −$26,909
- Taxable loss
- −$17,575
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,218
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,814/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Richmond County · 404,174 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 93,915
- Household income
- $104,613
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2168.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 482,784 people
- By 2030
- 481,831 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 473,159 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 457,242 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 408,029 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 341,459 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Asian 19% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 7% Other Indo-European 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -553.73%
- Current HPI
- 378.3872
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+105.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — SIBORMLS
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $925,000 SIBORMLS
- 2025-10-02 Listed $950,000 SIBORMLS
- 2008-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $485,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-06 Sold (MLS) $485,000 SIBORMLS
- 2008-01-07 Listed $499,900 SIBORMLS
- 2005-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $7,176 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…