2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
919 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Under Contract
· 202 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$874/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$183
Net cashflow
$331/mo
Annual
$3,970/yr
Cap rate
14.23%
Cash-on-cash
28.36%
DSCR
2.26
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($874 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#627 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Schuyler-Industry CUSD 5 (town): math 13% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #522 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP.
Schuyler County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $29k; list at $50k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-23X3F45MN9APNG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29