2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 467 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$880/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$354
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$278/mo
Annual
$3,341/yr
Cap rate
11.24%
Cash-on-cash
17.68%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$18,900
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($880 rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 467 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $467 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#194 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Acadia Parish (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 98 in LA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Church Point Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #251 of 646 statewide, top 41%, 604 students, 83% FRL); Church Point Middle School (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #125 of 218 statewide, top 58%, 256 students, 80% FRL); Church Point High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #186 of 265 statewide, top 73%, 555 students, 64% FRL).
Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Acadia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $68k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.9% in Church Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 467 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-2418Q108ZZVT24
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29