233 S Vista St · Church Point, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice old-world home with modern conveniences. Central air and heat. Solidly built home with huge backyard that goes to the next street.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Listed 467 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking
- Utilities: Community sewer; Electric service: Entergy
- Home design: Single-family residence
- Construction: Frame construction; Asbestos shingle roof
- Exterior features: Asbestos shingle roof; Frame construction with other siding
Interior
- Flooring: Wood laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Wood laminate flooring; Central heating and central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($880 rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.7% in Church Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#194 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Acadia Parish (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 98 in LA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Church Point Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #251 of 646 statewide, top 41%, 604 students, 83% FRL); Church Point Middle School (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #125 of 218 statewide, top 58%, 256 students, 80% FRL); Church Point High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #186 of 265 statewide, top 73%, 555 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Acadia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $467 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 467 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $68k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 467 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.68%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,000
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Marie St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,061 (+6%) | 20mo | $96,000 | $90 | 42 |
| 1053 E Ebey St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,147 (+15%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $144 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $6,778
- Equity at exit
- $10,064
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $28,667
- Equity at exit
- $5,836
Cash invested: $18,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70525
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $880 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$354
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $414/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$185
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,875
- Closing costs
- $2,025
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $67,500 Active 467 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $67,500 Active 466 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $67,500 Active 465 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $67,500
-
2026-02-05price $68,000
-
2026-02-03status Active
-
2026-01-05price $69,500
-
2025-08-04status Active
-
2025-04-21price $69,900
-
2025-02-28status Active
-
2025-02-19status Pending
-
2025-01-30$75,000 Active
-
2016-03-30soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $414 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $414 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,557
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,781
- − Property taxes
- −$414
- − Insurance
- −$338
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$845
- − Management
- −$845
- − Depreciation
- −$1,964
- Taxable income
- $2,372
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$569
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,772/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Acadia Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,012
- Composite
- 31.65/100
- National rank
- #5929
- State rank
- #28 of 98 in LA
Livability — Church Point
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #194
- US rank
- #15467
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Church Point, LA
- City population
- 15,333
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,333
Population outlook (Acadia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,846 people
- By 2030
- 64,141 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 63,922 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 62,263 · -2.5%
- By 2075
- 56,507 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 46,316 · -27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Acadia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.0) · D 17.6% · R 81.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -45.7pp · 2024: -64.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.0 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.7 2012: R+49.8 2008: R+45.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.62%
- Current HPI
- 120.2621
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+125.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $67,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $68,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-03 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $69,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-04 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-21 Price Changed $69,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-02-28 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-02-19 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-30 Listed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $414 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…