3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1992
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 328 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,353/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$545
Tax + insurance
−$90
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$433/mo
Annual
$5,196/yr
Cap rate
11.29%
Cash-on-cash
17.84%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$29,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
It's been on market 328 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($719 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#154 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
St. John The Baptist Parish (suburban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #68 of 98 in LA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: John L. Ory Communications Magnet Elementary (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #218 of 646 statewide, top 34%, 371 students, 29% FRL); East St. John Preparatory Academy (math 6% / reading 16%, grade F, #195 of 218 statewide, top 90%, 392 students, 63% FRL); East St. John High School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #171 of 265 statewide, top 66%, 1,459 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 82% district-wide (36 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in St. John the Baptist Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. John the Baptist County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $104k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 328 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-24FXWQ68GJKEYS
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29