5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,584 sqft ·
Built 1875
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 179 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,686/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$564
Net cashflow
$1,475/mo
Annual
$17,700/yr
Cap rate
25.98%
Cash-on-cash
70.32%
DSCR
4.13
1% rule
2.99%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $737/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $8k; list at $90k implies a 958% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 26.0% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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