3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,168 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$996/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$76
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$191/mo
Annual
$2,294/yr
Cap rate
8.61%
Cash-on-cash
8.28%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#159 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Stigler (town): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #151 of 270 in OK (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Stigler Es (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #168 of 845 statewide, top 24%, 448 students, 0% FRL); Stigler Ms (math 14% / reading 18%, grade F, #213 of 345 statewide, top 62%, 354 students, 0% FRL); Stigler Hs (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 385 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Haskell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Haskell County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $72k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.7% in Stigler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-25DBXX1AJ46J4V
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29