5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,256 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,721/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,641
Tax + insurance
−$522
HOA
−$34
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$571
Net cashflow
$-47/mo
Annual
$-569/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.65%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$87,633
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $313k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-569/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (2.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $272k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $486 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#255 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $2,721/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 121% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior walls
— Construction material covers the entire exterior
Major: Interior walls
— Construction material covers the entire interior
Major: Flooring
— Flooring is not yet installed
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Kitchen cabinets are not yet installed
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Bathroom fixtures are not yet installed
Major: Roof
— Roof is not yet finished
CashFlowRE · CFR-25ND4F6PFD0XG5
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29