5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,959 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Other
· Pending
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,429/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$812
Tax + insurance
−$249
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$68/mo
Annual
$810/yr
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.87%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$43,372
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($810/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (7.8% below list).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#224 in MN, #4,803 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Chisholm Public School District (town): math 37% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #219 of 301 in MN (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Vaughan Elementary (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 214 students, 60% FRL); Chisholm Elementary (math 42% / reading 47%, grade D, #118 of 258 statewide, top 48%, 136 students, 58% FRL); Chisholm Secondary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #306 of 471 statewide, top 70%, 334 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 36% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $750; list at $155k implies a 20553% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-25T3AX9JZJ5X15
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29