3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,659 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,154/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,443
Tax + insurance
−$459
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$452
Net cashflow
$-250/mo
Annual
$-3,000/yr
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.89%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$77,044
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-250 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (13.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (21.7% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $215k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,076 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: John & Barbara Roderick El (678 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 421 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-260712BF018ZPF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29