5 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,250 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,087/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$495
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,278
Net cashflow
$2,085/mo
Annual
$25,015/yr
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.02%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 3×1bd/1ba + 1×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $521/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $425k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($412k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $412k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#84 in MA, #4,383 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Athol-Royalston (town): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #265 of 302 in MA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
9 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $425k implies a 554% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $119k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 4.0% in Athol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29