2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Manufactured
· Active
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,739/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$417
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$365
Net cashflow
$824/mo
Annual
$9,892/yr
Cap rate
18.74%
Cash-on-cash
44.44%
DSCR
2.98
1% rule
2.19%
Cash to close
$22,260
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $824 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#43 in WA, #768 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Lakewood School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #151 of 291 in WA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cougar Creek Elementary School (359 students, 46% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (599 students, 50% FRL); Lakewood High School (850 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 29% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 358 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $80k implies a 657% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 3.0% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom vanity
— dated design
Minor: exterior siding
— slight discoloration
CashFlowRE · CFR-26MPGS8KJATFG6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29