16600 25th Ave NE #83 · Marysville, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.3
$79,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a great price? This home just became a fantastic deal for any buyer who wanted to find that cozy place to call home! 2-Bed, 1-Bath Home in 55+ Community needs you! Available Now! Enjoy comfortable, low-maintenance living with one of the lowest space rents in Snohomish County. Home Features: Large eat-in kitchen with lots of cabinet space. nice warm interior colors, and sunny natural light. Newly reconstructed covered front deck, just this summer, with attached carport parking. New winterization under the home and ready for your warmth in the upcoming season! Storage shed included. Community & Value:Water and Sewer costs included in rent!
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Clubhouse
- Carport parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $824 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 3.0% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#43 in WA, #768 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Lakewood School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #151 of 291 in WA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cougar Creek Elementary School (359 students, 46% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (599 students, 50% FRL); Lakewood High School (850 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 29% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 358 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $80k implies a 657% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.44%
- DSCR
- 2.98
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,585
- List price
- $79,500
- Delta
- -10.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16600 25th Ave NE #61 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+18%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $97 | 70 |
| 16600 25th Ave NE #71 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+18%) | 5mo | $69,000 | $75 | 67 |
| 16600 25th Ave NE #24 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+18%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $76 | 65 |
| 16600 25th Ave NE #18 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+18%) | 11mo | $89,000 | $96 | 62 |
| 16600 25th Ave NE #55 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+18%) | 17mo | $85,000 | $92 | 61 |
| 16600 25th Ave NE #15 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+18%) | 17mo | $95,000 | $103 | 60 |
| 3715 152nd St NE #21 | 1.06mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (0%) | 23mo | $60,500 | $77 | 46 |
| 3715 152nd St NE #49 | 1.06mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+18%) | 20mo | $71,500 | $77 | 24 |
| 3715 152nd St NE #50 | 1.06mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 924 (+18%) | 17mo | $73,000 | $79 | 19 |
| 3715 152nd Ave NE #16 | 1.06mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+18%) | 22mo | $96,900 | $105 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $38,428
- Equity at exit
- $11,854
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.32×
- Total profit
- $96,251
- Equity at exit
- $6,874
Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.5 mo (22%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $75,000 ($77/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 181 d
- This list price
- 67% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +46.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98271
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,739 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $824
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $879 | -5% $852 | +0% $824 | +5% $797 | +10% $769 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $687 | -5% $756 | +0% $824 | +5% $893 | +10% $962 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $864 | -0.5pp $845 | base $824 | +0.5pp $804 | +1.0pp $783 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,875
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2100 172nd St NE Marysville, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $2,542 | $2.77 | 0d | 199 | 0.41mi |
| 2100 172nd St NE Marysville, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 916 | $2,537 | $2.77 | 94d | 8 | 0.41mi |
| 2203 172nd St NE Marysville, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 549 | $1,596 | $2.90 | 5d | 4 | 0.51mi |
| 2002 174th St NE Marysville, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1069 | $2,552 | $2.39 | 0d | 16 | 0.52mi |
| 17500 25th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $2,488 | $2.58 | 0d | 40 | 0.60mi |
| 17313 Smokey Point Blvd Arlington, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,745 | $2.18 | 27d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3208 180th St NE Unit ADU Arlington, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,695 | $2.61 | 0d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 17505 38th Dr NE Arlington, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,800 | $2.67 | 105d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 17906 Smokey Point Blvd Arlington, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,655 | $1.84 | 0d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 17309 40th Ave NE Arlington, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $2,063 | $3.06 | 0d | 9 | 1.13mi |
| 18222 Smokey Point Blvd Arlington, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,925 | $2.02 | 0d | 8 | 1.27mi |
| 2922 186th Pl NE Arlington, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1102 | $2,909 | $2.64 | 0d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 18506 Smokey Point Blvd Arlington, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $2,036 | $2.31 | 0d | 12 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-21days on market $79,500 Active
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2026-09-20days on market $79,500 Active 218 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $79,500 Active 217 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $79,500 Active 216 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $79,500 Active 215 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $79,500 Active 214 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $79,500 Active 213 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $79,500 Active 212 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $79,500 Active 211 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $79,500 Active 210 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $79,500 Active 209 DOM
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2026-09-05remarks 695-char remark
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2026-09-05pricedays on market $79,500 Active 203 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $84,900 Active 202 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $84,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $84,900 Active 198 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $84,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $84,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $84,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $84,900 Active 192 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $84,900 Active 191 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $84,900 Active 190 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $84,900 Active 189 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $84,900 Active 188 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $84,900 Active 187 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $84,900 Active 186 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $84,900 Active 185 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $84,900 Active 184 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $84,900 Active 183 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $84,900 Active 182 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $84,900 Active 181 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $84,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $84,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $84,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $84,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $84,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $84,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $84,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $84,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $84,900 Active 171 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $84,900 Active 170 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $84,900 Active 167 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $84,900 Active 165 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $84,900 Active 164 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $84,900 Active 162 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $84,900 Active 160 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $84,900 Active 159 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $84,900 Active 158 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $84,900 Active 157 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $84,900 Active 156 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$1,192
- − Insurance
- −$398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,669
- − Management
- −$1,669
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $9,172
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,201
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This manufactured home is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom vanity — dated design
- Minor exterior siding — slight discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and appearance ↑
- Both replace bathroom vanity — modern vanity enhances functionality and appearance ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304260
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,106
- Composite
- 44.45/100
- National rank
- #6089
- State rank
- #151 of 291 in WA
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marysville, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 899,800 people
- City population
- 85,887
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,838
- Household income
- $95,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 7% Asian 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -666.16%
- Current HPI
- 305.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+591.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $89,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-14 Listed $92,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-30 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-26 Sold (MLS) $10,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-18 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-04 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-16 Price Changed $11,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-21 Listed $13,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-6.1%/yrLatest (2018): $62 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…