4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,788 sqft ·
Built 1914
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,271/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$234
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$267
Net cashflow
$-221/mo
Annual
$-2,652/yr
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.01%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-221 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (20.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (32.8% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (32.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#66 in NE, #2,981 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Heartland Community Schools (rural): math 70% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #30 of 245 in NE (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Heartland Community Elementary (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #136 of 502 statewide, top 31%, 197 students, 36% FRL); Heartland Community High Sch (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B-, #25 of 261 statewide, top 13%, 156 students, 29% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in York County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
York County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-26N4Z84QKJNK8C
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29