4 bd · 0.5 ba ·
2,604 sqft ·
Built 1877
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,344/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$282
Net cashflow
$786/mo
Annual
$9,435/yr
Cap rate
29.94%
Cash-on-cash
84.45%
DSCR
4.76
1% rule
3.37%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $786 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,135 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
South Central CUD 401 (rural): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #506 of 620 in IL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: South Central Elementary-Kinmundy (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,056 statewide, top 71%, 279 students, 0% FRL); South Central Middle School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #460 of 665 statewide, top 72%, 144 students, 0% FRL); South Central High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 206 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-26Y5QTBQC1R4CG
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29