1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,616 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$983/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$312
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$-59/mo
Annual
$-705/yr
Cap rate
5.59%
Cash-on-cash
-2.52%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-705/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (10.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (1.6% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $90k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#344 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Desoto Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 180 students, 0% FRL); Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-27XXYHER1NVBW6
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29