2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,742 sqft ·
Built 1910
· Other
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,049/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$201
Tax + insurance
−$49
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$579/mo
Annual
$6,947/yr
Cap rate
24.46%
Cash-on-cash
64.87%
DSCR
3.89
1% rule
2.74%
Cash to close
$10,708
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($264 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#572 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Malden R-I (town): math 19% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #294 of 324 in MO (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Malden Lower Elem. (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #842 of 1,115 statewide, top 76%, 454 students, 100% FRL); Malden High (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #478 of 521 statewide, top 92%, 425 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Dunklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dunklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 24.5% vs local median 7.3% in Malden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-28YZASE5VAYD7N
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29